Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.413633 3.616696 3.833562 4.083832 4.366538 4.678247 5.051130
2025-06-22 3.053203 3.315516 3.609453 3.967625 4.398636 4.909441 5.575079
2025-06-29 2.757902 3.047056 3.382415 3.807999 4.346176 5.023384 5.975793
2025-07-06 2.562534 2.873027 3.243977 3.732091 4.378442 5.240810 6.554163
2025-07-13 2.491555 2.839213 3.268675 3.858145 4.683690 5.871298 7.892357
2025-07-20 2.397182 2.766656 3.235356 3.901395 4.880143 6.388178 9.255795
2025-07-27 2.365888 2.769997 3.298455 4.080853 5.300994 7.359059 11.969512
2025-08-03 2.311823 2.738017 3.309314 4.184786 5.623345 8.266476 15.342360
2025-08-10 2.217123 2.644402 3.225978 4.136857 5.685801 8.706188 18.019585
2025-08-17 2.092530 2.502928 3.065020 3.953354 5.485942 8.553001 18.667749
2025-08-24 2.000781 2.402133 2.956355 3.842770 5.402013 8.635927 20.412022
2025-08-31 1.945988 2.349621 2.914003 3.833483 5.501170 9.168566 25.195038
2025-09-07 1.887973 2.296174 2.876223 3.844429 5.674757 10.052040 36.448571
2025-09-14 1.805410 2.204309 2.776094 3.743272 5.614741 10.318915 46.493632
2025-09-21 1.719155 2.103644 2.657520 3.601606 5.453449 10.250440 54.229666
2025-09-28 1.657356 2.035637 2.585194 3.534301 5.440682 10.653915 82.330990
2025-10-05 1.642095 2.034132 2.614795 3.648794 5.847769 12.772769 NaN
2025-10-12 1.611204 2.007894 2.603602 3.688305 6.097239 14.642365 NaN
2025-10-19 1.606620 2.020270 2.654520 3.849938 6.697704 19.303718 NaN
2025-10-26 1.588468 2.010976 2.669124 3.943320 7.158303 24.849037 NaN
2025-11-02 1.547369 1.964588 2.618915 3.900613 7.219359 27.659371 NaN
2025-11-09 1.487630 1.887421 2.513383 3.736021 6.881719 25.706704 NaN
2025-11-16 1.442228 1.831186 2.441257 3.636499 6.732730 25.840207 NaN